Applied Mathematics at University of California-Merced

Merced, CA · Public · Bachelor's Degree
55 /100
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
56
Optimistic
55
Base Case
56
Pessimistic
Earnings $39,138/yr (-38% vs median)
AI Risk Very High (61% exposed)
Job Market Large (87,000 openings/yr)
ROI 14.4x earnings multiple (4.5x out-of-state)
Ranked #31 of 44 Applied Mathematics programs

Program Analysis

The earnings data for UC-Merced's Applied Math program presents a unique situation. While an applied math degree theoretically opens doors to highly lucrative fields like actuarial science, data analysis, and quantitative finance, the numbers suggest graduates from this program are not consistently reaching those upper echelons. This often stems from the regional labor market; the Central Valley, while growing, doesn't possess the same density of high-paying tech or finance employers as coastal California. This means the program's recruiting pipelines might lean towards local opportunities, or students may need to actively seek out-of-area positions in major hubs like the Bay Area, Los Angeles, or even outside California, where demand for advanced mathematical skills is higher. The "Very High" AI risk also highlights the need for specialized, cutting-edge skills. To maximize your potential, focus heavily on developing in-demand computational skills, advanced statistical modeling, and machine learning applications that differentiate you from entry-level roles susceptible to automation.

How AI Changes the Outlook

Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Applied Mathematics graduates.

Optimistic
No Disruption
Base Case
Gradual AI
Pessimistic
Aggressive AI
10-Year Earnings $854K $817K $676K
Earnings Multiple (In-State) 15.1x 14.4x 11.9x
Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) 4.7x 4.5x 3.8x
Probability of Field Employment 73% 66% 42%
DegreeOutlook Score 56 55 56

10-Year Earnings Projection

*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.

4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$56,668
Out-of-state: $179,776 (4.5x ROI)
4-Year Net Price (After Aid)
$50,976
10% less than sticker · See by income
Median Debt at Graduation
$15,500
4.8 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$79,461
103% growth from Year 1

About University of California-Merced

University of California-Merced accepts 39% of applicants — selective, though not ultra-competitive, with a mid-sized student body of 8,372 in Merced, CA. Pell Grant recipients make up 59% of the student body — a marker of economic diversity.

See all programs and financial aid at University of California-Merced →

Top Career Paths

Natural sciences managers $161,180/yr
Actuaries $125,770/yr
Mathematicians $121,680/yr
View all 12 career paths with salary ranges and AI risk →

Compare & Explore

Applied Mathematics at Other Schools

Other Majors at University of California-Merced

Frequently Asked Questions

How does University of California-Merced's Applied Mathematics program score?
A score of 55/100 reflects decent absolute metrics, but University of California-Merced trails the majority of Applied Mathematics programs on relative rankings. Context matters more than the raw number.
How vulnerable is Applied Mathematics to AI automation?
AI won't 'replace' Applied Mathematics careers outright, but it is likely to reduce the number of job openings. We model 61% task exposure, which compresses field employment probability in our scenarios.
Why are Applied Mathematics earnings lower at University of California-Merced?
Lower starting pay at University of California-Merced may reflect local labor market conditions rather than program quality. Many graduates see convergence with national averages within 3-5 years.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research. See full methodology →