Hospitality Management at Northern Arizona University
Flagstaff, AZ · Public · Bachelor's Degree · Hospitality Administration/Management
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
51
Optimistic
50
Base Case
42
Pessimistic
Earnings
$37,402/yr (6% vs median)
AI Risk
High (47% exposed)
Job Market
Very Large (310,600 openings/yr)
ROI
10.2x earnings multiple (4.5x out-of-state)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Hospitality Management graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $521K | $519K | $480K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 10.3x | 10.2x | 9.5x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 4.5x | 4.5x | 4.1x |
| Probability of Field Employment | 42% | 38% | 28% |
| DegreeOutlook Score | 51 | 50 | 42 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$50,608
Out-of-state: $115,600 (4.5x ROI)
Median Debt at Graduation
$18,750
6.0 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$52,298
40% growth from Year 1
About Northern Arizona University
With 91% of applicants admitted, Northern Arizona University prioritizes broad access, one of the larger campuses at 23,041 students in Flagstaff, AZ.
See all programs and financial aid at Northern Arizona University →Top Career Paths
Managers, all other
$136,550/yr
Facilities managers
$104,690/yr
Business teachers, postsecondary
$97,270/yr
Compare & Explore
Hospitality Management at Other Schools
Other Majors at Northern Arizona University
Is a Trade Program a Better Fit?
For students who prefer applied learning, trade programs can deliver strong earnings with significantly less debt and shorter time to employment.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the DegreeOutlook Score for Hospitality Management at Northern Arizona University?
A score of 50/100 puts this program in competitive territory — solid outcomes, though not at the top of the Hospitality Management field.
Will AI replace Hospitality Management careers?
With 47% of typical job tasks exposed to AI, this is one of the higher-risk fields. Our pessimistic scenario projects $479,571 in decade earnings vs $521,328 in the optimistic case — a meaningful gap.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research.
See full methodology →