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Engineering · Mechanical Engineering Rank #158 of 320

Mechanical Engineeringat Northern Arizona University

Graduates earn $63,252/yr in their first year — about 10.0% below the national Mechanical Engineering average. Base-case 10-year earnings $822K; scenarios range from $704K to $862K depending on AI disruption.

Flagstaff, AZ Public Bachelor's Degree
DegreeOutlook Score
70 STRONG
71
Optimistic
68
Pessimistic
Earnings
$63,252
1-year post-graduation
ROI
16.6x
Earnings : in-state tuition
10-yr Base
$822K
Cumulative base-case earnings
AI Risk
Very High
57% task exposure
Program Analysis

What this degree looks like at Northern Arizona University

First-year earnings of $63,252 track close to the $70,527 national median for Mechanical Engineering programs. This is a middle-of-the-road outcome on salary alone.

Every dollar of in-state tuition returns an estimated 16.2x in decade earnings — an exceptional ratio that places this among the highest-ROI Mechanical Engineering programs nationally.

Some AI exposure exists in Mechanical Engineering's typical career paths, with 53% of job tasks potentially affected. The pessimistic scenario still projects solid returns, with a 18% gap from the optimistic case.

At $23,413 in median debt against $63,252 in first-year earnings, graduates can expect to clear their loan balance in under six months of full earnings.

At #158 of 320 Mechanical Engineering programs, Northern Arizona University scores above the median — competitive but not a standout.

Earnings grow from $63,252 to $89,027 over five years — a 41% increase that's moderate and in line with typical career progression.

AI Outlook Integration

Three scenarios, ten years out

Each scenario is a different assumption about how AI reshapes the career paths this major feeds into. Earnings projections stack the full 10-year cumulative trajectory; scores use the same 0–100 metric as the hero, recomputed under that scenario's assumptions.

Pessimistic
Mass Automation
$704K
10-year cumulative earnings
Scenario Score68/100
Earnings Multiple13.9x
Base Case
Moderate Integration
$822K
10-year cumulative earnings
Scenario Score70/100
Earnings Multiple16.2x
Optimistic
AI Augmentation
$862K
10-year cumulative earnings
Scenario Score71/100
Earnings Multiple17.0x
Earnings Trajectory

10 year projection

Year-by-year earnings under each scenario. Base case reflects BLS growth patterns applied to Northern Arizona University's starting earnings; optimistic and pessimistic adjust for AI's effect on each career path this major feeds into.

Career Paths

Where Mechanical Engineering graduates typically work

Common career destinations for this program's graduates, weighted by the school's specific occupation mix. Salary is BLS national median; AI risk is per-role task-exposure research.

1
Architectural and engineering managers
+3.8% 10-yr growth · 14,500 openings/yr
$167,740/yr
Moderate
2
Aerospace engineers
+6.1% 10-yr growth · 4,500 openings/yr
$134,830/yr
High
3
Engineering teachers, postsecondary
+8.1% 10-yr growth · 4,100 openings/yr
$106,120/yr
High
4
Mechanical engineers
+9.1% 10-yr growth · 18,100 openings/yr
$102,320/yr
High
5
Cost estimators
-4.2% 10-yr growth · 16,900 openings/yr
$77,070/yr
High
Source: BLS Occupational Employment & Wage Statistics, May 2024. AI exposure from OpenAI GPTs-are-GPTs and Felten AIOE research.
Compare & Explore

Peer schools offering Mechanical Engineering

How Northern Arizona University stacks up against other schools offering this major.

Highest earnings
California State University Maritime Academy
CA · Public
79
DW Score
$92K
1-yr earn
36.4x
ROI
Duke University
NC · Private nonprofit
65
DW Score
$90K
1-yr earn
3.8x
ROI
University of California-Berkeley
CA · Public
76
DW Score
$88K
1-yr earn
17.9x
ROI
Cornell University
NY · Private nonprofit
64
DW Score
$85K
1-yr earn
3.3x
ROI
Princeton University
NJ · Private nonprofit
52
DW Score
$85K
1-yr earn
2.6x
ROI
Also at Northern Arizona University

Other top programs at Northern Arizona University

Other highest-scoring programs offered at Northern Arizona University, ranked by DegreeOutlook Score.

FAQ

Frequently asked about Mechanical Engineering at Northern Arizona University

What is the DegreeOutlook Score for Mechanical Engineering at Northern Arizona University?

This program scores 70/100 — placing it among the stronger programs for Mechanical Engineering nationally. The score reflects above-average earnings, manageable AI risk, and solid financial return.

Will AI replace Mechanical Engineering careers?

With 53% of typical job tasks exposed to AI, this is one of the higher-risk fields. Our pessimistic scenario projects $704,134 in decade earnings vs $862,017 in the optimistic case — a meaningful gap.