Home Careers Physician Assistants
Career Hub · SOC 29-1071 · 163K U.S. workers

Physician AssistantsLow AI Exposure

Physician Assistants earn $133,260/year at the national median, with 163K workers in the U.S. The field is growing (+20.4% projected through 2034) — but AI exposure is low, which materially shapes what the next decade looks like.

10-Yr Growth
+20.4%
Projected 2024–2034
Annual Openings
12,000
/year, including replacements
Education
Master's degree
nan
Wage Distribution

What Physician Assistants actually earn

BLS OEWS percentiles for 2024. The blue marker is the national median — but pay varies sharply with experience, employer, and metro.

10th$95,240
25th$113,770
Median$133,260
75th$160,160
90th$182,200

A physician assistants at the 10th percentile (early-career or low-cost-of-living regions) earns $95,240; at the 90th (senior, high-COL metros, or specialty paths), $182,200 — a 1.9× spread.

AI Impact Outlook

How AI is reshaping Physician Assistants

Three scenarios using the DegreeOutlook AI Impact Model. Combines Felten-AIOE language-model exposure, OpenAI GPT-task exposure, and Frey-Osborne automation probability — calibrated against BLS occupational growth.

Optimistic · 2034
119% jobs persist
Limited automation reach into hands-on, regulated, or interpersonal work. BLS +20% growth largely intact.
Base Case · 2034
105% jobs persist
Administrative-side automation only. The core role is preserved by physical, regulatory, or interpersonal moats.
Pessimistic · 2034
88% jobs persist
Even in aggressive AI scenarios, this role retains structural protection — the work itself resists task automation.

Methodology: GPT-task exposure (Felten et al. 2023) measures the fraction of work activities where large language models can substitute or substantially augment a human. We blend this with BLS 10-year growth (+20.4% for this role) to project a range — the gap between optimistic and pessimistic reflects honest uncertainty about how aggressively employers will adopt automation. Full methodology →

What the work actually looks like

Day-to-day reality, career path, and honest outlook

A morning shift might start with reviewing patient charts before seeing a family for their annual check-ups. You’ll conduct physical exams, discuss preventative care, and diagnose common illnesses, from strep throat to managing chronic conditions like diabetes. Later, you could be in an urgent care clinic suturing a laceration, or in a hospital setting interpreting X-rays and ordering lab work for a patient with acute abdominal pain. As a physician assistant, you operate as a key member of a healthcare team, collaborating with physicians to provide comprehensive medical care. Your work is a dynamic blend of diagnostic reasoning, hands-on procedures, and direct patient communication, whether you’re assisting in a surgical operation or prescribing medication in a primary care office.

Your career path offers a clear trajectory of increasing autonomy and income. In your first five years, you’ll focus on building clinical confidence, likely working with more direct supervision from a physician. Your earnings will start strong, often above the $95,000 mark, as you master core competencies. By year ten, you’ll have established yourself as an experienced practitioner. This is when many PAs choose to specialize in fields like cardiology, dermatology, or orthopedics, pushing their earnings toward the median of $133,000 and beyond. With 15 or more years of experience, you could be earning in the top 10% of the field, over $180,000, while taking on leadership roles, training junior staff, or moving into clinical administration.

The path to becoming a PA is rigorous and requires significant upfront commitment. It begins with a bachelor's degree, typically in a science-related field, but the key hurdle for admission into a PA program is accumulating hundreds, often thousands, of hours of direct patient care experience as an EMT, medical assistant, or in a similar role. The Master's degree program itself is an intensive, 27-month-long journey. Upon graduation, you must pass the Physician Assistant National Certifying Examination (PANCE) to earn your license and the crucial "PA-C" credential, making you fully employable.

Looking ahead, the role of a physician assistant is exceptionally well-positioned for the future. With an AI exposure score of just 17%, the core of your job—hands-on clinical skills, complex human interaction, and regulated decision-making—remains largely insulated from automation. AI will likely serve as a powerful assistant for you, streamlining charting and administrative work, but it cannot replicate your diagnostic judgment or procedural skills. This low automation risk, combined with a staggering projected job growth of over 20% in the next decade, signals immense opportunity and stability. With an estimated 12,000 job openings emerging each year, this career offers a durable and rewarding path in a rapidly changing world.

Education Paths

Which majors lead to physician assistants

Most graduates entering this career studied one of these college majors. Click any to see schools, ROI by program, and full earnings outcomes.