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History at University at Buffalo

Buffalo, NY · Public · Bachelor's Degree

DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition

Optimistic

Base Case

Pessimistic

Earnings $28,857/yr (-11% vs median)

AI Risk High (44% exposed)

Job Market Very Large (188,200 openings/yr)

ROI 12.4x earnings multiple (4.4x out-of-state)

Ranked #192 of 389 History programs Top 50%

How AI Changes the Outlook

Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to History graduates.

	Optimistic No Disruption	Base Case Gradual AI	Pessimistic Aggressive AI
10-Year Earnings	$541K	$536K	$497K
Earnings Multiple (In-State)	12.5x	12.4x	11.5x
Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State)	4.4x	4.4x	4.1x
Probability of Field Employment	50%	45%	34%
DegreeOutlook Score	41	41	40

10-Year Earnings Projection

*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.

4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)

$43,128

Out-of-state: $122,288 (4.4x ROI)

4-Year Net Price (After Aid)

$81,880

-90% less than sticker · See by income

Median Debt at Graduation

$21,248

8.8 months of Year 1 earnings

Reported Earnings (5 Year)

$50,679

76% growth from Year 1

Program Analysis

At $28,857/yr, History graduates from University at Buffalo land near the $32,281 national average — neither a standout nor a red flag.

The 12.4x earnings multiple means ten-year projected earnings exceed tuition cost by an order of magnitude. By pure financial math, this is a standout.

AI risk is moderate — 44% task exposure — and the 8% scenario spread suggests disruption would dent but not destroy the earnings outlook.

The $21,248 debt-to-$28,857 income ratio translates to about 9 months of earnings. Standard loan terms should handle this comfortably.

Ranked #192 out of 389 programs, University at Buffalo's History offering sits in the upper half but doesn't break into the top tier.

Earnings growth from $28,857 to $50,679 over five years (76% increase) indicates that graduates in this field see meaningful salary progression.

About University at Buffalo

University at Buffalo accepts 69% of applicants, balancing access with selectivity, one of the larger campuses at 20,284 students in Buffalo, NY.

See all programs and financial aid at University at Buffalo →

Top Career Paths

Natural sciences managers $161,180/yr

Managers, all other $136,550/yr

History teachers, postsecondary $81,500/yr

View all 8 career paths with salary ranges and AI risk →

Compare & Explore

History at Other Schools

Other Majors at University at Buffalo

Is a Trade Program a Better Fit?

For students who prefer applied learning, trade programs can deliver strong earnings with significantly less debt and shorter time to employment.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does University at Buffalo's History program score?

This program scores 41/100 — on the lower end for History. Prospective students should carefully weigh costs against likely earnings.

How vulnerable is History to AI automation?

AI won't 'replace' History careers outright, but it is likely to reduce the number of job openings. We model 44% task exposure, which compresses field employment probability in our scenarios.

Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research. See full methodology →