Statistics at Duke University

Durham, NC · Private nonprofit · Bachelor's Degree
63 /100
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case)
64
Optimistic
63
Base Case
58
Pessimistic
Earnings $97,197/yr (54% vs median)
AI Risk Very High (64% exposed)
Job Market Large (41,500 openings/yr)
ROI 3.8x earnings multiple
Ranked #20 of 51 Statistics programs Top 50%

How AI Changes the Outlook

Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Statistics graduates.

Optimistic
No Disruption
Base Case
Gradual AI
Pessimistic
Aggressive AI
10-Year Earnings $1,043K $991K $772K
Earnings Multiple 4.0x 3.8x 2.9x
Probability of Field Employment 71% 64% 40%
DegreeOutlook Score 64 63 58

10-Year Earnings Projection

*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.

4-Year Tuition (Sticker)
$263,220
4-Year Net Price (After Aid)
$137,816
48% less than sticker · See by income
Median Debt at Graduation
$13,500
1.7 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$121,776
25% growth from Year 1

Program Analysis

Duke University Statistics graduates command $97,197/yr out of the gate, well above the $63,187 national median. That 54% premium suggests the program's reputation carries real labor-market weight.

An earnings multiple of 3.8x means ten-year projected earnings exceed tuition, but not by a dramatic margin. Returns are positive but modest.

Some AI exposure exists in Statistics's typical career paths, with 64% of job tasks potentially affected. The pessimistic scenario still projects solid returns, with a 26% gap from the optimistic case.

Loan repayment is a non-issue here — $13,500 in median debt clears quickly against $97,197 in annual earnings.

At #20 of 51 Statistics programs, Duke University scores above the median — competitive but not a standout.

Earnings grow from $97,197 to $121,776 over five years — a 25% increase that's moderate and in line with typical career progression.

About Duke University

Only 7% of applicants gain admission to Duke University, reflecting elite selectivity, enrolling 6,417 students in Durham, NC. After financial aid, the average student pays $137,816 over four years — 48% below sticker price.

See all programs and financial aid at Duke University →

Top Career Paths

Natural sciences managers $161,180/yr
Actuaries $125,770/yr
Mathematicians $121,680/yr
View all 7 career paths with salary ranges and AI risk →

Compare & Explore

Statistics at Other Schools

Other Majors at Duke University

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the DegreeOutlook Score for Statistics at Duke University?
A score of 63/100 puts this program in competitive territory — solid outcomes, though not at the top of the Statistics field.
Will AI replace Statistics careers?
With 64% of typical job tasks exposed to AI, this is one of the higher-risk fields. Our pessimistic scenario projects $771,975 in decade earnings vs $1,042,714 in the optimistic case — a meaningful gap.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research. See full methodology →