Physics at California State University-San Marcos

San Marcos, CA · Public · Bachelor's Degree
70 /100
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
71
Optimistic
70
Base Case
68
Pessimistic
Earnings $56,018/yr (21% vs median)
AI Risk Very High (50% exposed)
Job Market Large (77,700 openings/yr)
ROI 23.5x earnings multiple (9.3x out-of-state)
Ranked #4 of 75 Physics programs Top 5%

How AI Changes the Outlook

Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Physics graduates.

Optimistic
No Disruption
Base Case
Gradual AI
Pessimistic
Aggressive AI
10-Year Earnings $759K $726K $643K
Earnings Multiple (In-State) 24.5x 23.5x 20.8x
Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) 9.7x 9.3x 8.2x
Probability of Field Employment 70% 62% 46%
DegreeOutlook Score 71 70 68

10-Year Earnings Projection

*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.

4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$30,956
Out-of-state: $78,476 (9.3x ROI)
4-Year Net Price (After Aid)
$42,200
-36% less than sticker · See by income
Median Debt at Graduation
$19,000
4.1 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$80,480
44% growth from Year 1

Program Analysis

First-year earnings of $56,018 at California State University-San Marcos come in 21% above the national median of $46,482 for Physics programs.

With a 23.5x return on in-state tuition over ten years, the financial case for this program is compelling by virtually any measure.

The 15% difference between AI scenarios reflects partial automation exposure. Some Physics career paths face displacement, but others in the field are more insulated.

With first-year pay of $56,018 far exceeding the $19,000 median debt, the payback timeline is measured in months, not years.

California State University-San Marcos ranks #4 among 75 Physics programs, placing it in the top 5% nationally by our financial outcomes measure.

A 44% earnings increase from $56,018 to $80,480 over five years is solid — not a moonshot, but evidence of normal career advancement.

About California State University-San Marcos

California State University-San Marcos accepts 96% of applicants — an open-access institution by design, with a mid-sized student body of 14,174 in San Marcos, CA. Pell Grant recipients make up 44% of the student body — a marker of economic diversity.

See all programs and financial aid at California State University-San Marcos →

Top Career Paths

Physicists $166,290/yr
Natural sciences managers $161,180/yr
Physics teachers, postsecondary $97,360/yr
View all 4 career paths with salary ranges and AI risk →

Compare & Explore

Physics at Other Schools

Other Majors at California State University-San Marcos

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a 70/100 DegreeOutlook Score mean for Physics at California State University-San Marcos?
At 70/100, this is a high-performing program. The DegreeOutlook Score combines earnings, AI resilience, and ROI — and this program delivers on all three.
Should I worry about AI if I study Physics at California State University-San Marcos?
The 50% AI task exposure score is above average. Our model shows this affecting job availability more than salaries — graduates may face stiffer competition for fewer positions.
Is California State University-San Marcos one of the best schools for Physics?
Among 75 Physics programs, California State University-San Marcos's #4 position reflects consistently above-average results across earnings, ROI, and employment probability.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research. See full methodology →