Criminology at Northern Arizona University
Flagstaff, AZ · Public · Bachelor's Degree
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
46
Optimistic
46
Base Case
32
Pessimistic
Earnings
$37,214/yr (1% vs median)
AI Risk
High (50% exposed)
Job Market
Very Large (122,700 openings/yr)
ROI
10.3x earnings multiple (4.5x out-of-state)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Criminology graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $523K | $520K | $478K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 10.3x | 10.3x | 9.4x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 4.5x | 4.5x | 4.1x |
| Probability of Field Employment | 34% | 30% | 22% |
| DegreeOutlook Score | 46 | 46 | 32 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$50,608
Out-of-state: $115,600 (4.5x ROI)
Median Debt at Graduation
$19,500
6.3 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$53,788
45% growth from Year 1
About Northern Arizona University
Northern Arizona University accepts 91% of applicants — an open-access institution by design, serving a student body of 23,041 in Flagstaff, AZ.
See all programs and financial aid at Northern Arizona University →Top Career Paths
Managers, all other
$136,550/yr
Psychologists, all other
$117,580/yr
Sociologists
$101,690/yr
Compare & Explore
Criminology at Other Schools
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Is a Trade Program a Better Fit?
For students who prefer applied learning, trade programs can deliver strong earnings with significantly less debt and shorter time to employment.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the DegreeOutlook Score for Criminology at Northern Arizona University?
A score of 46/100 indicates below-average financial outcomes for Criminology. Earnings, ROI, or AI risk factors are pulling the score down.
Will AI replace Criminology careers?
With 50% of typical job tasks exposed to AI, this is one of the higher-risk fields. Our pessimistic scenario projects $477,859 in decade earnings vs $523,499 in the optimistic case — a meaningful gap.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research.
See full methodology →