Geosciences at University of California-Santa Barbara
Santa Barbara, CA · Public · Bachelor's Degree · Geological and Earth Sciences/Geosciences
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
37
Optimistic
36
Base Case
45
Pessimistic
Earnings
$30,759/yr (-23% vs median)
AI Risk
High (47% exposed)
Job Market
Medium (15,600 openings/yr)
ROI
12.8x earnings multiple (4.2x out-of-state)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Geosciences graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $804K | $769K | $681K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 13.4x | 12.8x | 11.4x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 4.4x | 4.2x | 3.7x |
| Probability of Field Employment | 68% | 60% | 46% |
| DegreeOutlook Score | 37 | 36 | 45 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$59,860
Out-of-state: $182,968 (4.2x ROI)
Median Debt at Graduation
$16,298
6.4 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$71,720
133% growth from Year 1
About University of California-Santa Barbara
Admission to University of California-Santa Barbara is competitive, with 28% of applicants accepted, one of the larger campuses at 23,205 students in Santa Barbara, CA.
See all programs and financial aid at University of California-Santa Barbara →Top Career Paths
Natural sciences managers
$161,180/yr
Atmospheric, earth, marine, and space sciences teachers, postsecondary
$101,390/yr
Geoscientists, except hydrologists and geographers
$99,240/yr
Compare & Explore
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Frequently Asked Questions
What does a 36/100 DegreeOutlook Score mean for Geosciences at University of California-Santa Barbara?
At 36/100, the financial outlook is modest. Higher-scoring Geosciences programs exist, though non-financial factors may justify this choice.
Should I worry about AI if I study Geosciences at University of California-Santa Barbara?
The 47% AI task exposure score is above average. Our model shows this affecting job availability more than salaries — graduates may face stiffer competition for fewer positions.
Is University of California-Santa Barbara a good choice for Geosciences despite lower starting pay?
Starting salary is one data point. If University of California-Santa Barbara's tuition is significantly below average, the ROI calculation can still work — lower earnings paired with lower costs can be a reasonable trade.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research.
See full methodology →