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Engineering · Mechanical Engineering Rank #144 of 320

Mechanical Engineeringat University of California-San Diego

Graduates earn $69,555/yr in their first year — about 1.0% below the national Mechanical Engineering average. Base-case 10-year earnings $906K; scenarios range from $764K to $956K depending on AI disruption.

La Jolla, CA Public Bachelor's Degree
DegreeOutlook Score
71 STRONG
73
Optimistic
69
Pessimistic
Earnings
$69,555
1-year post-graduation
ROI
15.3x
Earnings : in-state tuition
10-yr Base
$906K
Cumulative base-case earnings
AI Risk
Very High
57% task exposure
Program Analysis

What this degree looks like at UC San Diego

At $69,555/yr, Mechanical Engineering graduates from University of California-San Diego land near the $70,527 national average — neither a standout nor a red flag.

Every dollar of in-state tuition returns an estimated 14.8x in decade earnings — an exceptional ratio that places this among the highest-ROI Mechanical Engineering programs nationally.

Some AI exposure exists in Mechanical Engineering's typical career paths, with 53% of job tasks potentially affected. The pessimistic scenario still projects solid returns, with a 20% gap from the optimistic case.

The median debt load of $20,000 represents less than half a year of starting salary — among the lightest debt-to-income ratios we track.

At #144 of 320 Mechanical Engineering programs, University of California-San Diego scores above the median — competitive but not a standout.

Earnings grow from $69,555 to $99,554 over five years — a 43% increase that's moderate and in line with typical career progression.

AI Outlook Integration

Three scenarios, ten years out

Each scenario is a different assumption about how AI reshapes the career paths this major feeds into. Earnings projections stack the full 10-year cumulative trajectory; scores use the same 0–100 metric as the hero, recomputed under that scenario's assumptions.

Pessimistic
Mass Automation
$764K
10-year cumulative earnings
Scenario Score69/100
Earnings Multiple12.5x
Base Case
Moderate Integration
$906K
10-year cumulative earnings
Scenario Score71/100
Earnings Multiple14.8x
Optimistic
AI Augmentation
$956K
10-year cumulative earnings
Scenario Score73/100
Earnings Multiple15.7x
Earnings Trajectory

10 year projection

Year-by-year earnings under each scenario. Base case reflects BLS growth patterns applied to UC San Diego's starting earnings; optimistic and pessimistic adjust for AI's effect on each career path this major feeds into.

Career Paths

Where Mechanical Engineering graduates typically work

Common career destinations for this program's graduates, weighted by the school's specific occupation mix. Salary is BLS national median; AI risk is per-role task-exposure research.

1
Architectural and engineering managers
+3.8% 10-yr growth · 14,500 openings/yr
$167,740/yr
Moderate
2
Aerospace engineers
+6.1% 10-yr growth · 4,500 openings/yr
$134,830/yr
High
3
Engineering teachers, postsecondary
+8.1% 10-yr growth · 4,100 openings/yr
$106,120/yr
High
4
Mechanical engineers
+9.1% 10-yr growth · 18,100 openings/yr
$102,320/yr
High
5
Cost estimators
-4.2% 10-yr growth · 16,900 openings/yr
$77,070/yr
High
Source: BLS Occupational Employment & Wage Statistics, May 2024. AI exposure from OpenAI GPTs-are-GPTs and Felten AIOE research.
Compare & Explore

Peer schools offering Mechanical Engineering

How UC San Diego stacks up against other schools offering this major.

Highest earnings
California State University Maritime Academy
CA · Public
79
DW Score
$92K
1-yr earn
36.4x
ROI
Duke University
NC · Private nonprofit
65
DW Score
$90K
1-yr earn
3.8x
ROI
Same state (CA)
University of California-Berkeley
CA · Public
76
DW Score
$88K
1-yr earn
17.9x
ROI
Cornell University
NY · Private nonprofit
64
DW Score
$85K
1-yr earn
3.3x
ROI
Princeton University
NJ · Private nonprofit
52
DW Score
$85K
1-yr earn
2.6x
ROI
Also at UC San Diego

Other top programs at UC San Diego

Other highest-scoring programs offered at UC San Diego, ranked by DegreeOutlook Score.

FAQ

Frequently asked about Mechanical Engineering at UC San Diego

What is the DegreeOutlook Score for Mechanical Engineering at University of California-San Diego?

This program scores 71/100 — placing it among the stronger programs for Mechanical Engineering nationally. The score reflects above-average earnings, manageable AI risk, and solid financial return.

Will AI replace Mechanical Engineering careers?

With 53% of typical job tasks exposed to AI, this is one of the higher-risk fields. Our pessimistic scenario projects $763,837 in decade earnings vs $956,325 in the optimistic case — a meaningful gap.