History at University of Arkansas
Fayetteville, AR · Public · Bachelor's Degree
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
42
Optimistic
42
Base Case
42
Pessimistic
Earnings
$27,873/yr (-14% vs median)
AI Risk
High (44% exposed)
Job Market
Very Large (188,200 openings/yr)
ROI
14.0x earnings multiple (4.8x out-of-state)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to History graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $553K | $547K | $505K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 14.2x | 14.0x | 12.9x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 4.8x | 4.8x | 4.4x |
| Probability of Field Employment | 50% | 45% | 34% |
| DegreeOutlook Score | 42 | 42 | 42 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$38,992
Out-of-state: $115,088 (4.8x ROI)
Median Debt at Graduation
$24,250
10.4 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$51,587
85% growth from Year 1
About University of Arkansas
With 72% of applicants admitted, University of Arkansas prioritizes broad access, one of the larger campuses at 27,312 students in Fayetteville, AR.
See all programs and financial aid at University of Arkansas →Top Career Paths
Natural sciences managers
$161,180/yr
Managers, all other
$136,550/yr
History teachers, postsecondary
$81,500/yr
Compare & Explore
History at Other Schools
Other Majors at University of Arkansas
Consider the Trade Route?
Trade programs often mean less time in school, lower student debt, and hands-on career paths that tend to be more resilient to AI disruption.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the DegreeOutlook Score for History at University of Arkansas?
A score of 42/100 indicates below-average financial outcomes for History. Earnings, ROI, or AI risk factors are pulling the score down.
Will AI replace History careers?
With 44% of typical job tasks exposed to AI, this is one of the higher-risk fields. Our pessimistic scenario projects $504,861 in decade earnings vs $552,566 in the optimistic case — a meaningful gap.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research.
See full methodology →