Geosciences at University of Arkansas
Fayetteville, AR · Public · Bachelor's Degree · Geological and Earth Sciences/Geosciences
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
26
Optimistic
25
Base Case
34
Pessimistic
Earnings
$31,087/yr (-22% vs median)
AI Risk
High (47% exposed)
Job Market
Medium (15,600 openings/yr)
ROI
10.5x earnings multiple (3.6x out-of-state)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Geosciences graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $401K | $411K | $406K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 10.3x | 10.5x | 10.4x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 3.5x | 3.6x | 3.5x |
| Probability of Field Employment | 68% | 60% | 46% |
| DegreeOutlook Score | 26 | 25 | 34 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$38,992
Out-of-state: $115,088 (3.6x ROI)
Median Debt at Graduation
$22,500
8.7 months of Year 1 earnings
About University of Arkansas
University of Arkansas accepts 72% of applicants — an open-access institution by design, with 27,312 students enrolled in Fayetteville, AR.
See all programs and financial aid at University of Arkansas →Top Career Paths
Natural sciences managers
$161,180/yr
Atmospheric, earth, marine, and space sciences teachers, postsecondary
$101,390/yr
Geoscientists, except hydrologists and geographers
$99,240/yr
Compare & Explore
Geosciences at Other Schools
Other Majors at University of Arkansas
Frequently Asked Questions
How does University of Arkansas's Geosciences program score?
This program scores 25/100 — on the lower end for Geosciences. Prospective students should carefully weigh costs against likely earnings.
How vulnerable is Geosciences to AI automation?
AI won't 'replace' Geosciences careers outright, but it is likely to reduce the number of job openings. We model 47% task exposure, which compresses field employment probability in our scenarios.
Why are Geosciences earnings lower at University of Arkansas?
Lower starting pay at University of Arkansas may reflect local labor market conditions rather than program quality. Many graduates see convergence with national averages within 3-5 years.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research.
See full methodology →