History at University at Buffalo
Buffalo, NY · Public · Bachelor's Degree
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
41
Optimistic
41
Base Case
40
Pessimistic
Earnings
$28,857/yr (-11% vs median)
AI Risk
High (44% exposed)
Job Market
Very Large (188,200 openings/yr)
ROI
12.4x earnings multiple (4.4x out-of-state)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to History graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $541K | $536K | $497K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 12.5x | 12.4x | 11.5x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 4.4x | 4.4x | 4.1x |
| Probability of Field Employment | 50% | 45% | 34% |
| DegreeOutlook Score | 41 | 41 | 40 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$43,128
Out-of-state: $122,288 (4.4x ROI)
Median Debt at Graduation
$21,248
8.8 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$50,679
76% growth from Year 1
About University at Buffalo
University at Buffalo accepts 69% of applicants, balancing access with selectivity, one of the larger campuses at 20,284 students in Buffalo, NY.
See all programs and financial aid at University at Buffalo →Top Career Paths
Natural sciences managers
$161,180/yr
Managers, all other
$136,550/yr
History teachers, postsecondary
$81,500/yr
Compare & Explore
History at Other Schools
Other Majors at University at Buffalo
Is a Trade Program a Better Fit?
For students who prefer applied learning, trade programs can deliver strong earnings with significantly less debt and shorter time to employment.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does University at Buffalo's History program score?
This program scores 41/100 — on the lower end for History. Prospective students should carefully weigh costs against likely earnings.
How vulnerable is History to AI automation?
AI won't 'replace' History careers outright, but it is likely to reduce the number of job openings. We model 44% task exposure, which compresses field employment probability in our scenarios.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research.
See full methodology →