History at Texas State University
San Marcos, TX · Public · Bachelor's Degree
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
51
Optimistic
50
Base Case
48
Pessimistic
Earnings
$37,741/yr (17% vs median)
AI Risk
High (44% exposed)
Job Market
Very Large (188,200 openings/yr)
ROI
11.6x earnings multiple (5.7x out-of-state)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to History graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $536K | $532K | $493K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 11.7x | 11.6x | 10.8x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 5.8x | 5.7x | 5.3x |
| Probability of Field Employment | 50% | 45% | 34% |
| DegreeOutlook Score | 51 | 50 | 48 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$45,800
Out-of-state: $92,840 (5.7x ROI)
Median Debt at Graduation
$21,500
6.8 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$53,755
42% growth from Year 1
About Texas State University
Texas State University accepts 89% of applicants — an open-access institution by design, with 34,547 students enrolled in San Marcos, TX.
See all programs and financial aid at Texas State University →Top Career Paths
Natural sciences managers
$161,180/yr
Managers, all other
$136,550/yr
History teachers, postsecondary
$81,500/yr
Compare & Explore
History at Other Schools
Other Majors at Texas State University
Is a Trade Program a Better Fit?
For students who prefer applied learning, trade programs can deliver strong earnings with significantly less debt and shorter time to employment.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the DegreeOutlook Score for History at Texas State University?
A score of 50/100 puts this program in competitive territory — solid outcomes, though not at the top of the History field.
Will AI replace History careers?
With 44% of typical job tasks exposed to AI, this is one of the higher-risk fields. Our pessimistic scenario projects $493,458 in decade earnings vs $536,161 in the optimistic case — a meaningful gap.
What makes Texas State University's History program stand out?
Ranked #54 of 389 programs nationally, Texas State University lands in the top 25%. The ranking reflects a combination of graduate earnings, return on investment, and job market alignment.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research.
See full methodology →