Criminal Justice at Texas State University

San Marcos, TX · Public · Bachelor's Degree · Criminal Justice and Corrections

DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition

Optimistic

Base Case

Pessimistic

Earnings $36,117/yr (-6% vs median)

AI Risk Moderate (36% exposed)

Job Market Very Large (480,600 openings/yr)

ROI 11.4x earnings multiple (5.6x out-of-state)

How AI Changes the Outlook

Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Criminal Justice graduates.

	Optimistic No Disruption	Base Case Gradual AI	Pessimistic Aggressive AI
10-Year Earnings	$527K	$524K	$485K
Earnings Multiple (In-State)	11.5x	11.4x	10.6x
Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State)	5.7x	5.6x	5.2x
Probability of Field Employment	34%	32%	26%
DegreeOutlook Score	55	54	44

*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.

4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)

$45,800

Out-of-state: $92,840 (5.6x ROI)

4-Year Net Price (After Aid)

$65,752

-44% less than sticker · See by income

Median Debt at Graduation

$17,000

5.6 months of Year 1 earnings

Reported Earnings (5 Year)

$54,099

50% growth from Year 1

Texas State University has a 89% acceptance rate, making it broadly accessible, serving a student body of 34,547 in San Marcos, TX.

Managers, all other $136,550/yr

First-line supervisors of police and detectives $105,980/yr

Detectives and criminal investigators $93,580/yr

Trade programs often mean less time in school, lower student debt, and hands-on career paths that tend to be more resilient to AI disruption.

How does Texas State University's Criminal Justice program score?

This program scores 54/100, reflecting respectable but not exceptional financial outcomes for Criminal Justice graduates.

Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research. See full methodology →