Geosciences at State University of New York at New Paltz
New Paltz, NY · Public · Bachelor's Degree · Geological and Earth Sciences/Geosciences
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
48
Optimistic
47
Base Case
50
Pessimistic
Earnings
$40,524/yr (1% vs median)
AI Risk
High (47% exposed)
Job Market
Medium (15,600 openings/yr)
ROI
16.5x earnings multiple (7.6x out-of-state)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Geosciences graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $570K | $561K | $521K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 16.7x | 16.5x | 15.3x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 7.7x | 7.6x | 7.1x |
| Probability of Field Employment | 68% | 60% | 46% |
| DegreeOutlook Score | 48 | 47 | 50 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$34,096
Out-of-state: $73,736 (7.6x ROI)
Median Debt at Graduation
$18,500
5.5 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$56,558
40% growth from Year 1
About State University of New York at New Paltz
State University of New York at New Paltz accepts 59% of applicants, balancing access with selectivity, enrolling 6,022 students in New Paltz, NY.
See all programs and financial aid at State University of New York at New Paltz →Top Career Paths
Natural sciences managers
$161,180/yr
Atmospheric, earth, marine, and space sciences teachers, postsecondary
$101,390/yr
Geoscientists, except hydrologists and geographers
$99,240/yr
Compare & Explore
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does State University of New York at New Paltz's Geosciences program score?
This program scores 47/100 — on the lower end for Geosciences. Prospective students should carefully weigh costs against likely earnings.
How vulnerable is Geosciences to AI automation?
AI won't 'replace' Geosciences careers outright, but it is likely to reduce the number of job openings. We model 47% task exposure, which compresses field employment probability in our scenarios.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research.
See full methodology →