History at San Francisco State University
San Francisco, CA · Public · Bachelor's Degree
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
50
Optimistic
50
Base Case
50
Pessimistic
Earnings
$28,718/yr (-11% vs median)
AI Risk
High (44% exposed)
Job Market
Very Large (188,200 openings/yr)
ROI
20.4x earnings multiple (7.9x out-of-state)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to History graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $619K | $607K | $551K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 20.8x | 20.4x | 18.6x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 8.0x | 7.9x | 7.1x |
| Probability of Field Employment | 50% | 45% | 34% |
| DegreeOutlook Score | 50 | 50 | 50 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$29,696
Out-of-state: $77,216 (7.9x ROI)
Median Debt at Graduation
$15,000
6.3 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$59,616
108% growth from Year 1
About San Francisco State University
San Francisco State University accepts 96% of applicants — an open-access institution by design, with 20,033 students enrolled in San Francisco, CA. 41% of students receive Pell Grants, indicating strong socioeconomic diversity.
See all programs and financial aid at San Francisco State University →Top Career Paths
Natural sciences managers
$161,180/yr
Managers, all other
$136,550/yr
History teachers, postsecondary
$81,500/yr
Compare & Explore
History at Other Schools
Other Majors at San Francisco State University
Is a Trade Program a Better Fit?
For students who prefer applied learning, trade programs can deliver strong earnings with significantly less debt and shorter time to employment.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does San Francisco State University's History program score?
This program scores 50/100, reflecting respectable but not exceptional financial outcomes for History graduates.
How vulnerable is History to AI automation?
AI won't 'replace' History careers outright, but it is likely to reduce the number of job openings. We model 44% task exposure, which compresses field employment probability in our scenarios.
Why does San Francisco State University rank so high for History?
The #48 ranking out of 389 programs is driven by strong financial outcomes — graduates earn well, debt is manageable relative to income, and the job market supports the field.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research.
See full methodology →